Just like we did before every single race I’ve done in the last two years (link to last one, and the NYC Half guess) it’s time to place your bets again… There is always someone who hits it right in the head! (always unbelievable! look at this one: guesses here, winner here)
Rules:
Pick a finish time and write in the comments below. Whoever gets closer, wins, If there’s two identical times, the first poster wins! Make sure if you include seconds in there too, and post before Saturday November 1st at 7 pm EST.
As usual, there’s gonna be PRIZES… you can 2 pick from these:
- a clip-on running metronome
- a brooks flat vapur water bottle
- a Garmin FR70 watch
- BodyGlide minis (set of 5)
- SLS3 Compression race sleeves, white, S/M
- Craft Compression socks, white, M
- Zensah Compression socks, black M
- Injinji socks, Lightweight ultra thin performance, mini crew, gray, M
- TCKSports socks, Topo and Talus, grayishs, size M
- a NYC Marathon rain (knee-length, orange and white) poncho
Ok, the data…
Recent:
Grete’s Great Gallop on October 5th in 1:44. Staten Island Half on October 12th in 1:43.
Marathons:
My PR is from Berlin 2012: 3:27:44, the last marathon I did was Boston 2014 in 3:49 and NYCM 2013 in 3:49.
Running Calculators!
the jackdaniels calculator says the SI half 1:43:39 gives me a 3:36 marathon
the macmillan calculator says the SI half 1:43:39 gives me a 3:38 marathon
the runnersworld calculator says the SI half 1:43:39 gives me a 3:36 marathon
I’d add a few minutes to those as those estimates are for a flat marathon.
My guess:
No PR this year! I am guessing between 3:39 (my A Goal and a course PR) and a 3:46, because I did NYCM last year in 3:49 and I am in a bit better shape this year.
GO ON! Place your bets below!!! Good luck to us!!
Prizes shipped only within the US, but you can have me send it to someone in the US. / Comments with guesses will only count if they are posted here (not on facebook, not on runnersworld.com, HERE) before Saturday Nov 1st 7 pm EST. / If there are two guesses with the exact same time, the first one wins.
3:47
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3:41:17
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Pingback: Race Report: 2014 Staten Island Half | runningandthecity
3:38:47
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3:34:40. Let’s start together?? Then I let you go 😉
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whaaaat?? 3:34? what time are you shooting for Martina??
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Starting at around 3:45 and go from there… I know you can totally do 3:3x:xx… You were sick during both half marathons, so that time doesn’t really count 😉
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sounds like a plan. IF we’re in the same wave…!
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I’m orange wave 1, corral D…
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3:40:02
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3:43:43. Because it’s the same forwards and backwards 😛
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3:37:30 Right next to me
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I wish!
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3:38:42.
Good luck! You are going to crush it!!! With a smile on your face the whe time! Only happiness!!
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3:47:46
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3:42:50
If you’re coming down the stretch and it’s going to be close, I trust you’ll do the right thing and slow down/speed up to cross exactly at 3:42:50. I’ve been playing this game for years and I never win.
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I am sure you know it’s IMPOSSIBLE to do any sort of math…. and btw, you had Kara Goucher with a sign for you, I think you should call yourself a winner!
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3:41:30
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3:40:23
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3:39:29 – Good Luck! Dominate it!
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3:39:30
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3:47:11
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3:42:30
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3:37:37 – Good Luck.
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3:35:41 – Good luck!!
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3:46
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3:40:47–Go get ’em!
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3:34,
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3:43:43 because I like repeating numbers.
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3:42:27 Good luck!
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3:39:48
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3:36:02 — you were sick for your half marathons. You’ve got this!
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3:38:57
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3:39:33
Enjoy!
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3:41:01
Go go go !
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I guess 3 hrs 16 min 21 sec! Good luck! I’ll be handing out medals at the finish – maybe I’ll see you!!
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3:40:25
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3:49:33, marathons are fickle
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3:40:09
The most important thing is to have fun, isn’t it?
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3:39.20
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3:41:28
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3:42:08
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3:35:50
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3:44:45
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I think 3:46:25!
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3:50:01. Because the course is a bitch.
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oh, I know!
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3:41:17 just because….
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3:40:23. No reason, just because I like some of those numbers. Good luck!
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I’m going with 3:44:36
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oops, I meant 3:45:16, haha
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3:43:27…..Good luck.
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Let me first start off by saying how jealous I am, this one is on my bucket list but will have to wait till after I turn 40 so I can qualify…Next year is my 40th so I hope to toe the line in 2016. I am adding in the weather factor and am going with:
3:50:25
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3:43:43
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3:38:48
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